01/07 – Rob’s “Sunny and Cool” Tuesday Morning Forecast

A cold front is now east of the area with just cloud coverage overhead. There is only a 5-10 degree drop behind the front. The front should be well east of the area by mid-morning and high temperatures will top out in the mid 60s under mostly sunny skies.

High pressure currently centered over west Texas will move eastward to near Mobile by mid-morning Wednesday, and be off the Atlantic Coast Thursday morning.

Low level flow returns to an on-shore component by Wednesday evening, continuing through Thursday, with no significant precipitation expected through the daytime hours on Thursday.

The next Pacific Northwest disturbance should be in the southern Rockies on Friday morning. Onshore flow will lead to a chance of showers Thursday night and Friday. A disturbance near the Southern Rockies should then lift into the middle Mississippi River Valley by midday Saturday and into New England on Sunday.

We could see some isolated thunder as early as midday on Friday, with more significant convective development on Saturday. The Storm Prediction Center has a 30% chance for SEVERITY along and north of with timing mainly 6 am-noon for most of the area.

Front should carry precipitation out of the area by mid-afternoon Saturday. Respite will be short, though, as boundary returns northward as a warm front by late Sunday. As the next system rolls out of the Rockies Monday, we could see additional significant convection somewhere around Monday.

Multiple periods of heavy rain could lead to some river issues by the end of the forecast period, so will have to monitor that portion of the forecast as well.

Way above normal temperatures will continue Friday and Saturday, with several locations likely to near 80 degrees on Friday.