9/11 – Rob Knight’s “Tropical Watch” Friday Morning Forecast


Today is a transition day and the beginning of what looks to be a rather wet set up across the region for the next week. The main influence for our region today and through the weekend will be a tropical wave currently moving slowly west across the north-central Gulf. This tropical wave is being monitored by the hurricane center and they currently have a 20% probability of it becoming a tropical cyclone in the next 5 days. Development is not anticipated with this system but what it will do is bring with it very deep moisture into the area.

With this much moisture moving in it won’t take much to spark showers and thunderstorms. Convection will be mostly driven by diurnal fluctuations; over land areas during the day after we heat up and then more numerous over the marine areas overnight where the best instability will be during that time. Rain may be heavy at times especially today and tomorrow before the wave moves west of the region but widespread heavy rain may hold off until the 2nd wave which will be early next week. Even given the amount of moisture moving in models aren’t really hammering the rainfall totals much through the weekend.

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Sunday is an interesting forecast. On one hand the tropical wave will be west of the region so we should see some subsidence on the back end of that. In addition the next stronger tropical wave will be entering the Gulf Sunday so we will be between systems that day. This is usually when a break in the activity would occur however; moisture will still be rather plentiful. With that it still might not take much daytime heating to get scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms. Unsettled weather will continue as we roll into next week.

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Chief Meteorologist Rob Knight is a familiar face along the Mississippi Gulf Coast, having been an on-air personality in the local area since 2005. Rob is originally from New York, but traveled and forecasted weather around the world as an active duty member of the United States Air Force since 1992. In 2005, after 13 years in the USAF, Rob made the transition back to the public sector as an on-air meteorologist, six months prior to Hurricane Katrina. Rob says “Meteorology is not a job for me, it’s my passion. I’m fortunate enough to have been in this wonderfully challenging field since 1992. I solve mysteries. The atmosphere gives you clues and you have to figure out what it’s going to do. How fun is that?” Rob holds a Bachelor's degree in Meteorology from Florida Institute of Technology, along with several military degrees. He is also a member of the National Weather Association. When his attention isn’t focused on weather, it’s on real estate. Rob and his wife own a local realty. Rob loves to spend time volunteering in the local community, and often works with the Boys and Girls Club, the Humane Society, and several others. On a cool south Mississippi Saturday morning, Rob is usually at one of the many beautiful golf courses.


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