7/31 – Rob Knight’s “HOT” Friday Forecast


A disturbance to the NW of the area will begin to amplify and track southward across the mid-west today. Subsidence ahead of this system as well as from ridge over the GOM should inhibit convection for all but late in the day. From a temperature perspective, it should be relatively near normal highs in the lower to mid-90s. Elevated dew-points still in place should bring heat indices into the 100 to 107 degree range. The hot pocket will be along the MS River from New Orleans to Baton Rouge.

On Saturday, the trough slows as it rotates closer to a neutral state over the mid-Mississippi Valley. This will cause the frontal boundary to slow its progression across the area. It will then become a focus for convection pretty much all day. Not sure if the current forecast will be high enough coverage.

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Not much change in the expected forecast scenario. Upper disturbances will continue to extend from Quebec and Nova Scotia southwestward into the lower Ohio and Mississippi River Valleys. This puts us in light northwest flow without a lot of moisture return. Several impulses will rotate through the base of this disturbance, and will produce at least some chance of thunderstorms each day, primarily during the afternoon hours. I don’t see much more than 30-40 percent for the most part. Will trend toward the upper end of temperature guidance, as that has worked best most of the summer.

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Chief Meteorologist Rob Knight is a familiar face along the Mississippi Gulf Coast, having been an on-air personality in the local area since 2005. Rob is originally from New York, but traveled and forecasted weather around the world as an active duty member of the United States Air Force since 1992. In 2005, after 13 years in the USAF, Rob made the transition back to the public sector as an on-air meteorologist, six months prior to Hurricane Katrina. Rob says “Meteorology is not a job for me, it’s my passion. I’m fortunate enough to have been in this wonderfully challenging field since 1992. I solve mysteries. The atmosphere gives you clues and you have to figure out what it’s going to do. How fun is that?” Rob holds a Bachelor's degree in Meteorology from Florida Institute of Technology, along with several military degrees. He is also a member of the National Weather Association. When his attention isn’t focused on weather, it’s on real estate. Rob and his wife own a local realty. Rob loves to spend time volunteering in the local community, and often works with the Boys and Girls Club, the Humane Society, and several others. On a cool south Mississippi Saturday morning, Rob is usually at one of the many beautiful golf courses.


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