7/6 – Rob Knight’s “Wet & Hot” Workweek Forecast

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No pattern change today and model soundings actually show a slightly bump in precip chances, so expecting a near repeat of yesterday. In fact, the latest models show storms developing south and west of I-10 corridor in the morning and progressing northeast during the afternoon.

The main concern for today is heavy rain and flash flooding. Scrolling through radar imagery from yesterday, some very impressively high numbers were seen. Instantons rainfall rates of over 8″ per hour occurred a few times…that’s 1 inch of rain in 7-8 minutes. While it’s quite rare for a rate that high could be maintained for very long, multiple places did see 4″ over an entire hour yesterday. In addition, it’s not too unlikely that a pattern like this can produce upwards of 5 to 6 inches over an hour. Location is everything though and where the training of these intense storms to occur will determine if flash flooding develops.

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The upper level pattern doesn’t appear to change going into Tuesday. The area will continue to sit in a region of weakness between 2 areas of high-pressure with ample moisture in place. The pattern will finally starting to gradually change Wednesday onward. The high-pressure centered near the 4 Corners region of the country will begin to deepen and expand eastward. This will increase subsidence and bring in drier air into the column. Rain chances will slowly decrease as this transition takes place with precip chances possibly as low as 20 to 30 percent on Friday. Of course, lower precip chances along with plenty of sunshine and compressional heating will lead to very hot temperatures.

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Chief Meteorologist Rob Knight is a familiar face along the Mississippi Gulf Coast, having been an on-air personality in the local area since 2005. Rob is originally from New York, but traveled and forecasted weather around the world as an active duty member of the United States Air Force since 1992. In 2005, after 13 years in the USAF, Rob made the transition back to the public sector as an on-air meteorologist, six months prior to Hurricane Katrina. Rob says “Meteorology is not a job for me, it’s my passion. I’m fortunate enough to have been in this wonderfully challenging field since 1992. I solve mysteries. The atmosphere gives you clues and you have to figure out what it’s going to do. How fun is that?” Rob holds a Bachelor's degree in Meteorology from Florida Institute of Technology, along with several military degrees. He is also a member of the National Weather Association. When his attention isn’t focused on weather, it’s on real estate. Rob and his wife own a local realty. Rob loves to spend time volunteering in the local community, and often works with the Boys and Girls Club, the Humane Society, and several others. On a cool south Mississippi Saturday morning, Rob is usually at one of the many beautiful golf courses.