The low end threat for severity will move east as a cold front passes today. Some deeper and stronger t-storm cells could form this morning with strong wind gusts the primary concern.
By this afternoon, dry air will move into the area. Skies will begin to clear and a breezy west wind will develop. Cold air will be delayed behind the front, and will allow for near record highs in the middle 80s. The cold air will finally begin to move into the region tonight, and overnight lows should be near to slightly below average in the upper 40s and lower 50s. High pressure will dominate the forecast area Wednesday with clear skies, low humidity, and near normal temperatures expected.
Upper level high-pressure will move eastward on Thursday, and an approaching disturbance will begin to approach from the west. Gradually increasing cloud cover is expected through the day, and temperatures will remain near normal as the flow pattern aloft turns west-east. Conditions on Friday will largely be similar to Thursday night as limited moisture keeps rainfall on the lighter side and isolated to widely scattered in nature.
This pool of deeper moisture will allow for higher rain chances in the 50 to 60 percent chance range on Sunday as the strongest of the disturbances pass through the area. The rainfall over the weekend will be welcome after a rather dry stretch these past couple of weeks.