02/11 – Rob Knight’s “Foggy Start” Tuesday Morning Forecast

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Timing and placement of rain will be the biggest concern with this package. Fog should be the next but not as concerning since it will be marine fog and should impact mainly the coastal areas. The last will be the threat of severe weather Wednesday evening.

Severe weather numbers and instability for this scenario Wednesday is rather limited. The biggest pros for strong to severe storms will be in the form of a strong cold front and
increasing mid-level flow.

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The strong cold front will absolutely give us decent forcing at the surface as it quickly moves through the area Wednesday night. With that we can see a squall line with the cold front providing mainly a strong to damaging wind risk and as always down here can never rule out a tornado or two especially with any kinks or breaks in the line.

Much colder and drier after the cold front moves through Thursday and will likely continue into the weekend. We will begin to moderate Saturday and will continue into next week.

There are some differences in the models heading into Sunday and early next week mainly with regards to the placement of high-pressure building in either the Gulf or the Western Caribbean and FL straights.

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