The moderation of our airmass will continue today through Thursday as high-pressure aloft dominates the region. As the warmer more humid air mass and low level moisture moves in, expect areas of patchy morning for beginning tomorrow through Friday.
A deep cutoff low-pressure currently sitting in the Pacific just off Baja is expected to lift N/NE into the Desert Southwest as a disturbance dives down the Pacific coast. The system will then begin to slowly move across the 4 Corners Thursday night and through the central Plains Friday. We will see a surface low-pressure begin to take shape over the Lower MS Valley late Friday and it will lift to the northeast overnight Friday and early Saturday. This will drag a cold front through the region.
Rain chance will begin as early as Friday afternoon with the best chance for showers and a few thunderstorms overnight Friday. The front should quickly push through Saturday morning with most if not all of the rain being out of the area by noon. As for the potential of severe weather, there is still a small chance of seeing a few strong to severe storms. If any severe storms do develop, and this is a BIG IF…the main concern would be straight line winds. Heading into Saturday night and through Sunday things look quiet and cool.