A warm front moving north very slowly this morning and will set up over central to southern Mississippi today. This is where most of the showers and thunderstorm activity will be found. There is a chance of a strong thunderstorm as some cells approach the warm front today but this should be mainly north of the WXXV viewing area.
A new cold front currently over the northern and central plains will move southeast rapidly today forcing the activity along the warm front southward. The good thing is the upper support moves northeast causing the area to become more stable. But showers with some thunderstorms will still make their way through the area overnight into Wednesday morning. The wind shift will move through the area with the line of showers/thunderstorms which will be just before and around daylight Wednesday. The cold front will lag just a bit and move through the area around and just after daylight. The line of showers/thunderstorms will continue to decay as they move over the open Gulf waters. Strong high pressure will then settle over the Gulf Coast.
The cold front will stall over the northern gulf close to the coast. The area of disturbed wither near the Yucatan and Bay of Campeche this morning will begin to get funneled northward Thursday spreading out over the northwestern half of the Gulf on Friday. The highest rainfall areas look to be anywhere from the central to eastern gulf coast by the end of the week. By the start of next week, a new strong cold front moves into the area washing all this mess offshore.