9/12 – Rob’s Thursday Morning Forecast and Tropical Update

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Model solutions are all over the place with the eventual development and placement of this tropical cyclone. This is not unusual before a defined center can be located. And even with
that, the weakness of the system would also play a big role in which direction any particular model solution would bring it. With the difficulties the various models are currently having with this system…we will continue to watch it and develop more of a known track heading into the weekend. One way or another, the Florida peninsula and or the eastern Gulf of Mexico could be dealing with a named storm Sunday into early next week.

We will continue with the dry and hot conditions up to the weekend unless this system does approach which would be the only real chance of rain the area would get in more than 2 weeks. If the European model turns out to be right, it would be a continuation of the dry conditions but with the large amount of mass ejection poleward, it would cause the next deep trough to dig quite a bit bringing a true cold front into the area. Since we are approaching the driest part of the year (October), either of these scenarios would bring some much needed rain before our driest month comes in.

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Payton Malone grew up in the small town of Archer City, Texas before moving to Norman, Oklahoma where he attended the University of Oklahoma. During his time at OU he interned as a meteorologist at KOCO in Oklahoma City where he experienced all types of weather ranging from tornadoes, flooding and winter storms. Payton received his Bachelor of Science in Geography and a Minor in Meteorology. Payton's interest in weather began at the very young age of six after a local broadcast meteorologist talked to his class about preparing for severe weather. That along with growing up in the middle of Tornado Alley, Payton has been hooked to the weather ever since. He is excited to move to the Gulf Coast and start a new adventure away from the plains. He loves venturing around the area finding new coffee shops, local places to eat, and he looks forward to being involved in the communities on the Mississippi coast. You can follow Payton on social media: Facebook: @paytonmalonewx Twitter: @paytonmalonewx Instagram: @paytoncmalone