A drier air mass will keep t-storm development in check across the interior portions of the forecast area with better coverage taking place along and south of the boundary in the outer coastal waters. This afternoon’s heat index readings will top out around 105 at a few locations.
The overall pattern remains rather docile in nature with a weakness between two prominent ridges aloft. This should allow for near normal temperatures and a decent probability of rain each day – generally in the 50-60 percent range for land/gulf breeze regime afternoon thunderstorms over land areas and nocturnal near shore activity…beginning Sunday.
Models are hinting at an easterly wave moving across the Caribbean Sea, into Yucatan and eventually into the lower Gulf mid to late next week. This will be monitored in subsequent model runs but expecting large swings in depiction with each model run through that time frame.