6/24 – Rob’s “Rainy” Monday Morning Forecast

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Early this morning, regional radars show a line of thunderstorms moving into the area. Based on lightning data, general intensity along the portion of the line that will impact the local area has been decreasing. Strong to marginally severe storms are possible with gusty winds being the main threat. The one thing that most models have in common in a general decrease in the integrity of the line as it moves across the forecast area.

Moving into Tuesday, an upper level area of high-pressure will try to build across the Gulf of Mexico from the western Atlantic while a weak shortwave tracks across east Texas, Arkansas and northern Louisiana. This will bring increased rain chances to at least central Mississippi. A rebound of daytime temps is expected tomorrow as well with highs back in the lower to mid
90s.

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The remainder of the week will be characterized by upper level high-pressure building across the southern half of the country from Texas to the East Coast. It will be a daily battle between daytime heating induced convection and subsidence aloft. A better chance for rain/t-storms will begin moving into the area late in the workweek and through the upcoming weekend. Expect this summertime pattern to persist into at least the first half of next week.