5/14 – Rob’s “Sunny & Warm” Tuesday Morning Forecast

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A much welcomed dry stretch continues early this week, with all-around pleasant and comfortable temperatures across northern Gulf coast states. Today will be very similar to yesterday with mostly sunny skies and no rain. Only feature worth mentioning will be a weakening upper-level shortwave riding the zonal flow aloft across the northern Gulf coast. This feature may help spark some isolated showers/storms well offshore in outer marine zones later today through Wednesday, but will quickly dissipate before upper-level ridging anchors itself over the MS Valley region late week.

The next weather maker will make its way in by later this weekend, as the aforementioned ridge eventually pulls east of the area. On Saturday, continued hot afternoon temperatures will support perhaps a bit more widespread afternoon convection in the same areas. But by Sunday, this is where long-range guidance splits on the idea of dragging a cold front through the area or not. Either way, scattered showers/storms may still advect east well ahead of the front regardless of its eventual passage across the area.