11/15 – Rob’s FRIGID Start…Morning Forecast

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The remainder of this week and into the weekend looks to be a dry forecast as surface high pressure builds in and upper level troughing remains in place. Strong cold air advection will keep the region well below normal again today but sunny skies finally return. Expect 15-20 degrees below our seasonal norm, with the air mass to warm Friday heading into the weekend.

As the surface ridge building and shifts to just northeast of the area on Friday morning, will likely have cold air drainage in northeastern portions of the area, those areas INLAND may once again dip down to just above freezing. Temperatures will moderate Friday and Saturday before a reinforcing cold front moves through the area Sunday night. Rain chances are not very likely as it will be a moisture starved boundary due to a lack of return flow ahead of it and generally just slightly strengthen northerly surface flow.

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Models show a couple of disturbance passing through the area in the middle of next week. Models suggest some rain Thanksgiving day with the first one disturbance, and more with the second. Either way, later next week will be the next appreciable chance of rain for the region.