An area of low-pressure over the area will continue to move westward today, and should be west of our area this evening. Expect numerous showers and thunderstorms today, especially from about Interstate 59 westward. Rain amounts over the next 24 hours will be mainly in the 1 to 2 inch range, but a few locations could see considerably more than that. Localized flooding not out of the question, but do not expect widespread excessive rainfall.
With sufficient moisture remaining in place still anticipate scattered convection to occur on Wednesday, mainly during the afternoon and evening. Another easterly wave approaches on Thursday, and while we will have precipitation chances in the “likely” range on Thursday, the threat of widespread heavy rainfall is somewhat diminished.
Do not expect to see a lot of sunshine today across the area. The exception might be late in the day over the Mississippi coastal counties with the upper low departing. This should hold high temperatures in the lower and middle 80s today. We should see some sunshine for the 4th, outside of thunderstorms, with highs closer to the normal highs around 90.
Thursday’s upper wave will move west of the area for Friday, but not a lot of drying, so scattered convection still expected. A shear axis and weak cold front will approach from the north on Sunday as it slowly weakens. Some concern that the boundary hangs up over the area as it dissipates, providing a focusing mechanism for several rounds of thunderstorms late in the weekend and early next week.