5/11 – Rob Knight’s Mother’s Day Weekend Forecast

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A dry and warm airmass with rain-free conditions today. Tomorrow will see the ridge break down slightly as a broad and weak upper level low develops over the eastern half of the Gulf of Mexico. It looks like the best moisture convergence will be over the western third of the region including SE Louisiana.

Mother’s Day will bring beautiful but hot conditions to the region…

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The pattern on Monday will be little changed from that on Sunday with a persistent ridge parked over the Lower Mississippi Valley and a deepening upper level low parked over the northeast Gulf of Mexico. The area will remain on the drier and more subsiding side of the system. A more unsettled weather pattern will develop by Tuesday and linger through Thursday.

A surge of deeper tropical moisture along wit ample forcing will be in place, and I fully expect to see diurnally forced scattered showers and thunderstorms develop in the late morning and persist through the evening hours both Tuesday and Wednesday…and even Thursday.