2/13 – Payton’s Mardi Gras Afternoon Forecast

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High pressure centered over the Great Lakes this morning, with a stalled stationary front about 75 miles off the coast. No significant rainfall occurring early this morning, but could be a
little drizzle or mist out there. It`s not enough to restrict visibilities though.

Great Lakes high pressure will move off the New England coast today. A weak shortwave will move through the southwesterly flow across the area could produce some scattered showers, but rainfall amounts would be light. Any thunder would be extremely limited and elevated late this afternoon and evening to our west…with a 20% chance for the activity in the local area.

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Beyond today, the area will be in onshore flow through Thursday into Friday. Won`t be able to totally rule out isolated to scattered showers Wednesday. If there`s going to be a significant
amount of sunshine before the weekend, it`ll occur on Thursday/Friday morning, with much warmer temps as some models are indicating some locations could top the 80 degree mark on Thursday if we get enough sunshine.

Next frontal system moves through the area Friday evening…if it makes it this far. Models bring it through, leading to a cooler day Saturday. I have warmed up the previous forecast a few degrees for Saturday, but still likely to see a bit of a cool down to close out the weekend. Monday and Tuesday will bring warmer temps across the region.