08/29 Ryan’s “Harvey & Katrina” Tuesday Forecast

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There’s a lot of talk about Harvey & Katrina as the former continues to march slowly Eastward toward South MS, and the latter remains a distant, but vivid memory from 12 years ago today. Light-to-moderate rainfall continued through the night as expected, and through most of the afternoon as well. This served to saturate the ground, so most of what we’ll get through the rest of tonight, tomorrow, and Thursday will likely contribute almost exclusively to localized flooding. Flash flood watches have already been issued, with warnings to come if warranted. Overall rainfall expected to total between 2 and as much as 8 inches across South MS, with higher totals on the Eastern edge of Jackson County.

Harvey remains a moderately strong tropical storm and still has the chance to organize a bit more before it makes it’s third landfall just South of Lake Charles, LA. The projected path continues to shift more and more Eastward, meaning we’ll see a good amount of its associated tropical moisture, enhancing our rainfall totals. As the storm continues, it still has a chance of dropping six more inches in the Houston area, 10-20 more inches in South-central LA, and as I mentioned above, 2-8″ is realistic for Coastal Mississippi.